Skip to main content
Category

General

Small Business Success Traits

By General, Quotes

Rob Riedl, Director of Wealth Management is featured in an interview conducted by Direct Capital’s Small Business Success experts group, which highlights traits of successful small business owners.  Rob’s comment:

They remained focused on the opportunity to be successful and are not distracted by the possibility of failure. They are always all in and never give up!

The entire list, which includes observations and comments from 49 other small business professionals can be found on the DirectCapital Blog.

Endowment Wealth Management CIO: “While there is room for further upside,most metrics suggest equities are overvalued”

By General

Comments from Prateek Mehrotra, CIO of Endowment Wealth Management, Inc., were printed in InstitutionalInvestor.com earlier today in an article titled Portfolio Perspective: Warning Signs for Your Client’s Stock Market Exposure. In the article, Prateek discusses a number of valuation metrics that he follows, many of which are extended. This leaves the market potentially vulnerable to a “mean-reversion” type correction, although there is room for further upside in equity prices. He further comments that “Portfolios can be cushioned from a U.S. sell-off by diversifying across hedged equity, foreign developed and emerging-markets stocks, nontraditional fixed income, master limited partnerships (MLPs), real estate, commodities and other liquid alternatives”. The entire article can be found at the bottom of Institutional Investor’s Daily Agenda column.

S&P 500 Index closes above 2000 for the first time

By Endowment Index™, General

Tuesday’s finish was the 30th record close this year for the index, which has gained 8.2% in 2014 through the end of trade on Tuesday. The Dow industrials hit an intraday record of 17153.80 on Tuesday but failed to hold a record through the close.

It took 16 years for the S&P to gain 1000 points since breaking through 1000 for the first time in 1998. The stocks in the S&P 500 were trading at 23.1 times their expected 12-month earnings as of March 31, 1998, according to FactSet. As of Friday, the S&P was trading at a price/earnings ratio of 15.5, compared with the 10-year average of 13.9.Back in March 1998, General Electric Co. was the largest company in the index by market value, and it had a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.9, according to FactSet. That ratio was 14.8 as of Friday.The biggest stock in the S&P 500 today is Apple Inc., which had a forward P/E ratio of 14.7 as of Friday’s close.

The rally through 2000 marks the S&P’s third major upswing since the late 1990s. The index first breached the 1000 mark on Feb. 2, 1998, and ran as high as 1527 in March of 2000 only to break back below 1000 briefly in September of 2001 and again in June of 2002. The post tech-bubble bull market, which saw the S&P push above 1560 in October 2007, was halted by the onset of the financial crisis. That bear market knocked the index down through 1000 in October 2008 to a multi-year closing low of 676.53 on March 9, 2009.

With the latest milestone in the rear-view mirror, some investors are wondering how much further stocks can go.

(Source: WSJ)

 

Smart Contact Lenses Monitor Blood-Glucose Levels

By General

Novartis and Google are working together to develop a smart contact lens designed to monitor blood-glucose levels while also correcting vision. Currently individuals have to rely on a finger prick test to monitor blood-glucose levels. The smart lens method is more accurate and less invasive. The lens is equipped with a tiny sensor that will analyze the amount of glucose in tears and then relay this information through an antenna. It also has the ability to wirelessly transmit the information to an app on a mobile device. Tears also contain a biomarker, lacryglobin, for breast, colon, lung, prostate, and ovarian cancers. Measuring the lacryglobin levels could help to monitor patients in remission. Ultimately, this type of technology could help individuals better manage their own health and prevent disease through early detection.

(Source: WSJ)

Investor Alert: 10 Red Flags That an Unregistered Offering May Be a Scam

By General

Aug. 4, 2014

The SEC’s Office of Investor Education and Advocacy is issuing this Investor Alert to help investors identify potentially fraudulent unregistered offerings.

Under the federal securities laws, a company may not offer or sell securities unless the offering has been registered with the SEC or an exemption to registration is available.  If the offering is not registered, it is often called a private placement or unregistered offering. Generally speaking, unregistered offerings are not subject to some of the laws and regulations that are designed to protect investors, such as disclosure requirements that apply to registered offerings.  Many companies engage in legitimate unregistered offerings to raise funds from investors.  Fraudsters, however, may also use unregistered offerings to conduct investment scams.

If you are presented with an opportunity to invest in an unregistered offering, in addition to thoroughly researching an investment—and the investment professional selling it—you should be on the lookout for these common signs of potential fraud when you are thinking about investing in an unregistered offering.

  1. Claims of High Returns with Little or No Risk

Promises of high returns, with little or no risk, are classic warning signs of fraud. Every investment carries some degree of risk, and the potential for greater returns comes with greater risk.  You should be skeptical of any investment that is said to have no risks.

  1. Unregistered Investment Professionals

Unregistered persons who sell securities perpetrate many of the securities frauds that target retail investors.  Always check whether the person offering to sell you an investment is registered and properly licensed, even if you know him or her personally.  An investment professional’s registration, background and qualifications are available through the Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website and FINRA’sBrokerCheck.

  1. Aggressive Sales Tactics

Scam artists often pitch an investment as a “once-in-a-lifetime” offer to create a false sense of urgency.  Resist the pressure to invest quickly and take the time you need to investigate thoroughly before sending money or signing any agreements.  Any reputable investment professional or promoter will let investors take their time to do research and will not pressure for an immediate decision.

  1. Problems with Sales Documents

Avoid an investment if the salesperson will not provide you with anything in writing.  A legitimate private offering will usually be described in a private placement memorandum, orPPM.  Similarly, sloppy offering documents that contain typographical, spelling, or other errors can be a red flag that the investment could be a scam.

  1. No Net Worth or Income Requirements 

The federal securities laws limit many private securities offerings to accredited investors.  Be highly suspicious of anyone who offers you private investment opportunities without asking about your net worth or income.

Accredited investor.  An individual is considered an accredited investor, if he or she:

  • earned income that exceeded $200,000 (or $300,000 together with a spouse) in each of the prior two years, and reasonably expects the same for the current year, OR
  • has a net worth over $1 million, either alone or together with a spouse (excluding the value of the person’s primary residence or any loans secured by the residence (up to the value of the residence)).
  1. No One Else Seems to be Involved 

Be cautious if no one besides the salesperson appears to be involved in the deal. Usually, brokerage firms, accountants, law firms, or other third parties are involved in a private offering.  Similarly, be cautious if you are told not to contact someone who is supposedly involved with the investment.

  1. Sham or Virtual Offices 

A company may establish a mailing address within a state in which it has no legitimate operations in a fraudulent attempt to qualify for an exemption from registration.  If the company’s corporate address is a mail drop and you are unable to verify that the company has any actual operating presence (such as a headquarters building, plant or other physical operations) within the same state, be wary.

  1. Not in Good Standing

Any company, including limited liability companies and limited partnerships, seeking your investment should be listed as active or in good standing in the state where it was incorporated or formed.  Every company must file and pay annual taxes in order to maintain its good standing.  Each state, usually under the offices of its Secretary of State, maintains a publicly accessible online database of its companies.  You should be wary if the company you are being asked to invest in can’t be found in the records of the state it claims to have been formed in or if it’s not listed as active or in good standing.

  1. Unsolicited Investment Offers

You should be very careful when you receive an unsolicited – meaning you did not ask for it – investment offer.  Whether from a total stranger or from a friend, trusted co-worker, or even family member, always consider the motivation of the person offering the investment.  Fraudsters often exploit the trust and friendship that exist in groups of people who have something in common, sometimes called affinity fraud.  You should be especially suspicious if you are told to keep the investment opportunity confidential or a secret.

  1.  Suspicious or Unverifiable Biographies of Managers or Promoters

To appear legitimate, fraudsters may represent that they have had a successful career in the relevant industry when nothing could be further from the truth.  Don’t just take the promoter’s word on his or her background.  Try to independently verify any claims, including by asking for references or conducting a simple Internet search.  On the other hand, even if the promoter is truthful about his or her background, if the promoter appears to lack relevant experience, consider this a red flag as well.

What You Can Do to Help Protect Yourself

  • Check the background of the investment professional.

Checking the background of an investment professional is easy and free.  Details on an investment professional’s background, qualifications and disciplinary record, if any, are available through the Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website and FINRA’sBrokerCheck.  If you have any questions on checking the background of an investment professional, call the SEC’s toll-free investor assistance line at (800) 732-0330.  You also should search the Internet for the investment professional’s name and past business experience.  Don’t be afraid to ask questions about what you find.

  • Understand the Investment Strategy

There are a wide variety of investments.  Make sure you understand the level of risk involved and think about whether the investment is suitable for your personal investing goals, time horizons and risk tolerance.  Investment pitches that are vague about who is involved in the transaction or where the money is going could be a red flag.  Salespeople may try to explain away this lack of specificity by stating that the details are too technical or complex for non-experts to understand.  If a promoter is unable to provide answers to the questions you ask, you should take that as a warning sign.  If you can’t understand it, consider carefully whether the investment is right for you.

  • Be Aware of Tactics of Con Artists and Fraudsters

Research shows that con-artists are experts at the art of persuasion, often using a variety of influence tactics tailored to the vulnerabilities of their victims.  Common tactics includephantom riches (dangling the prospect of wealth, enticing you with something you want but can’t have), source credibility (trying to build credibility by claiming to be with a reputable firm or to have a special credential or experience), social consensus (leading you to believe that other savvy investors have already invested), reciprocity (offering to do a small favor for you in return for a big favor), and scarcity (creating a false sense of urgency by claiming limited supply).

  • Ask Questions

Unbiased resources are available to help you make informed investing decisions. Whether checking the background of an investment professional, researching an investment, or learning about new products or scams, unbiased information can be a significant advantage for investing wisely.  A good starting point for this information is the SEC’s Investor.govwebsite.

Additional Resources Available on SEC.gov

For basic investment guidance, see our publication, Ask Questions.

For guidance on choosing an investment professional, review our Investor Bulletin, Top Tips for Selecting a Financial Professional.

To learn more about unregistered securities offerings, read:

Contact the SEC

If you have questions about checking the license or registration status of an individual or firm, submit a question to the SEC or call the SEC’s toll-free investor assistance line at (800) 732-0330 (dial 1-202-551-6551 if calling from outside of the United States).

Report a problem concerning your investments or report possible securities fraud to the SEC.

Stay Informed

Attending Matrix/Broadridge GetConnected 2014 Conference

By General

Tim Landolt, Managing Director of our sister company ETF Model Solutions, LLC will be attending the above conference next week. If you are interested in learning more about our Endowment Index™ and/or our Endowment Collective Fund for the 401(k) market, please reach out to him at the conference.

Matrix Financial Solutions’ (part of Broadridge Financial Solutions) GetConnected 2014 conference is in Keystone, CO from August 17-20 and will be attended by 750  financial professionals, including TPAs, record keepers, investment advisers, trust department managers, bank operations managers, portfolio managers and financial news media serving the retirement/401k market.  ETF Model Solutions’ Endowment Collective Investment Fund, which offers a unique alternative solution to target date and balanced funds, is available to defined benefit and defined contribution/401(k) plans is available through through Matrix’ MG Trust platform.

Q2-2014 Productivity Numbers

By General

Q2 productivity increased at a 2.5%; annual rate, almost one point higher than expected. But last quarter’s productivity was revised downward by 1.3%. to minus 4.5%, the lowest in 33 years. Could it have been all those businesses that were open but not selling anything because of the terrible weather last winter? The worrisome part of the release is that the rebound in Q2 was puny: 2.5% is just 3 tenths above the post-World War II average. In fact productivity growth over the last 3 years has fallen to 0.8%, the lowest since the early 1990s. That, more than anything explains the stagnant wages and real income of workers. The reasons for this decline are not clear: it could be due to greater regulation, more part-time workers with lower productivity, the lack of skills that new workers bring to the workforce, or broader factors such as the lack of technological breakthroughs that increase output. In the past lulls in productivity have been followed by rebounds.

If jobs continue to grow this could portend the onset of wage inflation. Something that we need to watch very closely.

(Source: WisdomTree, Jeremy J. Siegel)

Questions to ask your Wealth Manager/Financial Advisor

By General

Following are some questions I suggest asking a potential financial adviser or wealth manager before deciding if you feel they have earned the right to talk to you about your money:

  1. Do you use a recognized and independent third-party custodian to hold your assets?
  2.  How long have you worked in financial services and in what capacity?
  3. What is your academic training–undergrad and grad school?
  4. Have you earned either your CFA, CFP, CAIA and/or CPA designations?
  5. What kind of continuing education are you engaging in to stay abreast of developments in your field?
  6. Do you utilize an active or passive/evidenced-based approach & why?
  7. What fees are your clients charged–all in, from your fee down to embedded fees such as markups on fixed income purchases to management fees on recommended funds and any platform/custodial fees?
  8. Is the fee I am paying the only compensation you receive?
  9. What are the financial consequences of cancelling your program and selling out of the investments I have made with you–a

    re there any lockup periods, surrender charges, withdrawal penalties, account closing fees or any restrictions to move my account at any time?

  10. Do you report a client-specific time-weighted return each quarter?
  11. Do you live a frugal lifestyle?
  12. Do you work under a suitability or fiduciary standard?

Sell in May?

By General

Picture1

 

Statistically it’s true that on average, over the long term, May through September has been comparatively weak. That’s because the months of May and September have been weak. June, July and August, on average, have been good months. However, any given year can prove to be an exception to the long-term averages.

Picture2

 

(Source: Standard and Poor’s, data through May 1, 2014. The Leuthold Group, with permission)