In a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, U.S. President Barack Obama’s job-approval rating ticked down to 41% in March from 43% in January, marking the lowest level of his presidency. And, adding to the Democrats’ midterm worries, a Republican won a closely watched special house race in Florida.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
High-frequency trading (HFT) is a type of algorithmic trading, specifically the use of sophisticated technological tools and computer algorithms to rapidly trade securities. HFT uses proprietary trading strategies carried out by computers to move in and out of positions in seconds or fractions of a second. Firms focused on HFT rely on advanced computer systems, the processing speed of their trades and their access to the market.
As of 2009, studies suggested HFT firms accounted for 60-73% of all US equity trading volume, with that number falling to approximately 50% in 2012.
High-frequency traders, move in and out of short-term positions aiming to capture sometimes just a fraction of a cent in profit on every trade. HFT firms do not employ significant leverage, accumulate positions or hold their portfolios overnight; they typically compete against other HFTs, rather than long-term investors. As a result, HFT has a potential Sharpe ratio (a measure of risk and reward) thousands of times higher than traditional buy-and-hold strategies.
HFT may cause new types of serious risks to the financial system. Algorithmic and HFT were both found to have contributed to volatility in the May 6, 2010 Flash Crash, when high-frequency liquidity providers rapidly withdrew from the market. Several European countries have proposed curtailing or banning HFT due to concerns about volatility. Other complaints against HFT include the argument that some HFT firms scrape profits from investors when index funds rebalance their portfolios.
History
Profiting from speed advantages in the market is as old as trading itself. In the 17th century, the Rothschilds were able to arbitrage prices of the same security across country borders by using carrier pigeons to relay information before their competitors. HFT modernizes this concept using the latest communications technology.
High-frequency trading has taken place at least since 1999, after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) authorized electronic exchanges in 1998. At the turn of the 21st century, HFT trades had an execution time of several seconds, whereas by 2010 this had decreased to milli- and even microseconds. Until recently, high-frequency trading was a little-known topic outside the financial sector, with an article published by the New York Times in July 2009 being one of the first to bring the subject to the public’s attention. On September 2, 2013, Italy became the world’s first country to introduce a tax specifically targeted at HFT, charging a levy of 0.002% on equity transactions lasting less than 0.5 seconds.
In the United States, high-frequency trading firms represent 2% of the approximately 20,000 firms operating today, but account for 73% of all equity orders volume.
As HFT strategies become more widely used, it can be more difficult to deploy them profitably. According to an estimate from Frederi Viens of Purdue University, profits from HFT in the U.S. has been declining from an estimated peak of $5bn in 2009, to about $1.25bn in 2012.
Vincent “Vinnie” Viola, the founder of Virtu Financial Inc, is High Frequency Trading’s (HFT) first billionaire. He has an impressive track record of just “one losing trading day” during a 1,238 trading-day period.
How does he do it? The same way other High-Frequency Traders do it: front running trades and scalping countless billions and billions of fractions-of-pennies in the process.
High-frequency trading could soon officially mint its first billionaire.
Vincent “Vinnie” Viola, the founder of Virtu Financial Inc., could have his stake valued at around $2 billion once the company sells shares to the public, according to two people familiar with the matter.
In a filing Monday, Virtu said it hoped to raise $100 million in an initial public offering, though that figure is just a placeholder that could change based on investor demand. The company will likely seek to raise between $200 million and $250 million, according to the people. At the high end of that range, Virtu would be valued at about $3 billion.
Mr. Viola owns almost 70% of the company. Virtu is hoping that its stellar record – having just “one losing trading day” during a 1,238 trading-day period concluding at the end of December – will grab the interest of investors despite growing scrutiny of the high-frequency trading industry.
Virtu said in its prospectus that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission was “looking into our trading during the period from July 2011 to November 2013.”
The CFTC is examining Virtu’s “participation in certain incentive programs offered by exchanges or venues during that time period.” Virtu said it didn’t believe it violated any statute or regulatory provision.
The Securities and Exchange Commission has also said it is looking into the impact of high-frequency traders on market stability and fairness.
In addition, a French regulator, Autorité des Marchés Financiers, is examining the 2009 trading activities of a company that eventually became part of Virtu, the prospectus said.
Virtu declined to comment on the regulatory inquiries.
Mr. Viola gained attention last year after paying $240 million for control the Florida Panthers of the National Hockey League. He put his Manhattan mansion on the market for $114 million in December.
(Sources: Various, Wall Street Journal, New York Times)
(Source: Strategas)
Investors who are worried about the market’s parabolic rise in the past five years and whether we are at or near a top, can use the above table to judget where we are in the cycle and whether the tide is about to turn the other way.
Google Inc. on Monday disclosed $9.5 million in cash bonuses, tied to the company’s performance in fiscal year 2013, for certain executives.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
151.3%: The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s gains over the past five years, one of only six bull markets in history that have lasted this long.
782%: American Express Co.’s gain since March 2009, the biggest rally among the 30 Dow components. Walt Disney Co. is second, up 427%, and Home Depot Inc. rounds out the top three, up 352%.
47%: Exxon Mobil Corp.’s rally through the past five years, the worst-performing blue chip among components that spent all five years in the Dow.
177.6%: The S&P 500′s gain over the past five years.
50: The number of record highs for the broad S&P 500 over the past 12 months, including Friday’s record-setting close of 1878.04.
15.4: The S&P 500′s forward price-to-earnings ratio, up from 10.3 at the bear-market bottom, according to FactSet.
324.4%: The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector’s rally, the top performer among the index’s 10 large-cap sectors. Financials is second best, up 259%, and industrials is third, up 242%.
68%: The rally for the S&P”s telecommunications sector, the worst performing large-cap sector.
241.8%: The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite’s rally since the March 2009 bottom.
538.2%: Apple Inc.’s rally over the past five years.
250.6%: The gains for the Russell 2000 index of small-capitalization stocks off the bear-market low.
30.5%: The level of bearish sentiment — or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, according to the weekly survey conducted by the American Association of Individual Investors released Thursday. By comparison bearish sentiment reached a record level of70.3% in March 2009.
6.7%: The current unemployment rate, as per Friday’s jobs report. By comparison, the unemployment rate was 8.7% in March 2009.
Businesses struggled to squeeze much more out of their workers last year.
A downward revision to fourth-quarter productivity lowered the gain for all of 2013 to just 0.5%, the Labor Department said Thursday. The small increase ties with 2011 for the weakest annual improvement since 1993.
Labor productivity, or output per hour, strengthened early in the economic recovery as businesses grew more efficient. The measure increased 3.1% in 2009 and 3.3% in 2010, to mark the best annual improvement since 2003. But gains have slowed considerably since, measuring 0.5% in 2011 and 1.5% in 2012.
The recent weakness was most pronounced in nondurable manufacturing, a sector that includes the processing of food, chemicals and petroleum, as well as textile and paper production. Sector productivity slipped 0.1% last year because output improvements were more than offset by increased hours worked.
The easing of productivity is a bit of a double-edged sword. The weak gains hold back the economy’s potential to grow. But it also could signal that businesses are finding it more difficult to meet demand with their existing workforce and equipment.
If companies can’t squeeze more out of current workers, they might need to ramp up hiring and capital investment.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
Boeing Co., following other U.S. companies moving away from traditional pension plans, said Thursday that it would freeze the pension benefits of more than 68,000 nonunion employees, and will shift those workers to 401(k) retirement-savings plans, starting in 2016.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
A federal probe into why General Motors Co. took nearly 10 years to recall cars with a potentially deadly defect heated up on Wednesday as safety regulators demanded the auto maker answer 107 questions on its handling of a faulty ignition switch.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
U.S. President Barack Obama proposed a $3.9 trillion budget for the year beginning Oct. 1 that was largely absent of lofty new policy goals.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
Nine founders of four of the world’s largest private-equity firms together collected more than $2.6 billion last year through dividends and other payouts—more than twice as much as they made the year before.
(Source: Wall Street Journal)
