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U.S. Q4-2014 GDP growth revised down

By General

The downward revision to fourth-quarter GDP growth to 2.3% annualised, compared with the initial 3.2% estimate, was largely due to smaller positive contributions from durables consumption, net exports and inventories, whereas the positive contribution from business investment was actually revised higher. More generally, even a gain of only 2.3% is still impressive in a quarter when the Federal government shutdown resulted in a 5.6% drop in public sector spending, which subtracted more than 1.0% ppts from overall GDP growth.

 

Durable goods consumption is now estimated to have increased by a more modest 2.5% in the fourth quarter, down from the initial 5.9% estimate. With the bad weather hitting motor vehicle sales hard, we anticipate another modest gain in the first quarter. Net exports are now assumed to have added 1.0% ppt to GDP growth, rather than the initial contribution of 1.3%. Inventories added 0.1%, down from the initial 0.4% estimate.

 

The good news is that business investment increased by 7.3%, revised up from the initial estimate of a 3.8% gain. that gain helped to offset an 8.7% decline in residential investment, which was hit by the drop back in existing home sales that has reduced brokers’ commissions.

 

 

Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index

By Uncategorized

Bloomberg U.S. Financial Condition Index Feb-2014

 

The Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index, which is an overall gauge of the health of the financial and credit markets, reached an all-time high in late 2013 (the index started in 1994). This is a positive sign that financial markets have returned to solid ground after the shock of the financial crisis. Stable financial conditions help support economic growth.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Endowment Wealth Management: Number of the Day 2/26/2014

By Uncategorized

40%

The rate of obesity in preschool-age children in the U.S. dropped about 40% over the past decade, according to data from a comprehensive federal survey published Tuesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association—the latest sign that attempts to help parents improve children’s diets and exercise habits might be starting to have an effect.

(Source: Wall Street Journal)