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Number of the Day: 1/30/2014

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1,200

That is how many pounds our ice sculpture of NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell weighs. Preparing for the first outdoor cold-weather Super Bowl this weekend, our sports department is employing a creative method to help fans gauge how much they will need to bundle up. The more layers Mr. Goodell’s icy replica sheds, the more layers eventgoers can shed. You can follow the sculpture on Twitter @frozenroger.

(Source: Wall Street Journal)

Average S&P 500 TTM PE vs. CPI

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Avg S&P TTM PE by CPI (1950 to Current)

 

Equity valuations are still reasonable, especially when considering the inflation environment. Historically, inflation between 0%-2% (CPI is currently running at 1.2% year over year) has been a sweet spot for valuations. Even inflation readings up to 4% have been supportive for valuations. Concerns for multiples would arise if we see either deflation or inflation greater than 4%.

(Sources: Strategas Research Partners, LLC &  Brinker Capital, Inc.)